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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Quick Boys x Spakenburg Betting tips for November 25 in Netherlands Tweede Divisie
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Netherlands Tweede Divisie
Quick Boys Quick Boys
PREDICTION No tip
Spakenburg Spakenburg
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Quick Boys x Spakenburg Betting tips for November 25 in Netherlands Tweede Divisie

Our betting tip for Quick Boys x Spakenburg, Saturday, 25/11/2023
πŸ“… 25/11/2023
14:00
Quick Boys Quick Boys
3.27
X
3.45
Spakenburg Spakenburg
1.98

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Quick Boys x Spakenburg:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Quick Boys x Spakenburg

Important information for your tip for Quick Boys x Spakenburg:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Quick Boys in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $267.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Spakenburg in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $681.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Spakenburg scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 Spakenburg matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ Spakenburg is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 5 wins in a row in its last road matches.

πŸ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Quick Boys x Spakenburg

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Summary

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Analysis from Quick Boys x Spakenburg for the Netherlands Tweede Divisie – 25 of November

🏟️ Quick Boys X Spakenburg – Netherlands Tweede Divisie
πŸ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 14:00
πŸ”΅ Quick Boys – Winning probability: 31.02% | Fair line: 3.22
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.07% | Fair line: 3.33
πŸ”΄ Spakenburg – Winning probability: 38.91% | Fair line: 2.57
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Quick Boys
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Quick Boys x Spakenburg is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1025263 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Quick Boys x Spakenburg

Is it a good idea to bet on Quick Boys?

πŸ”΅ Quick Boys: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.02%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.27. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $703.70;
  • And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$13.70.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.07% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.45. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $735.00
  • And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$35.00.

Should you bet on Spakenburg?

πŸ”΄ Spakenburg: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 38.91%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.98. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – profiting $382.20;
  • And would lose other 610 times – losing -$610.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$227.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Quick Boys x Spakenburg

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Quick Boys
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Quick Boys x Spakenburg

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Quick Boys and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Quick Boys.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Spakenburg.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Quick Boys x Spakenburg

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves