Racing Club de Montevideo x Danubio Betting tips for November 17 in Uruguay Clausura

Our betting tip for Racing Club de Montevideo x Danubio, Sunday, 17/11/2024

📅 17/11/2024 19:30

Racing Club de Montevideo 2.30

X 2.98

Danubio 3.14

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Racing Club de Montevideo x Danubio:

🔮 Tied Match
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Important information for your tip for Racing Club de Montevideo x Danubio: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Racing Club de Montevideo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-112.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Danubio in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $5.0. 👉 Danubio did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 3 Danubio matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Racing Club de Montevideo conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Danubio. 👉 In the last 5 road matches, Danubio has not lost any of them.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Racing Club de Montevideo x Danubio?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Racing Club de Montevideo x Danubio:

Analysis from Racing Club de Montevideo x Danubio for the Uruguay Clausura – 17 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Racing Club de Montevideo x Danubio right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1222248 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Racing Club de Montevideo x Danubio

Is it a good idea to bet on Racing Club de Montevideo?

🔵 Racing Club de Montevideo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.08%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 250 times – profiting $325.00;
• And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$425.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 40.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.98. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 410 times – this would give you a profit of $811.80
• And would lose other 590 times – having a loss of -$590.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$221.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on Danubio?

🔴 Danubio: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.14. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 340 times – profiting $727.60;
• And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$67.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Racing Club de Montevideo x Danubio

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Racing Club de Montevideo
⚽ Expected goals: 1.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Racing Club de Montevideo x Danubio

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Racing Club de Montevideo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Racing Club de Montevideo. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Racing Club de Montevideo x Danubio

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 1.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.00 goals.