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Home » Predictions » Others » Racing Club x River Plate Betting tips for December 15 in Argentina Liga Profesional
Sunday, 15 December 2024, 00h15 Argentina Liga Profesional
Racing Club Racing Club
PREDICTION Racing Club wins Probability 45% 1 X 2
River Plate River Plate
ODD: @2.78 Don't miss this prediction!

Racing Club x River Plate Betting tips for December 15 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for Racing Club x River Plate, Sunday, 15/12/2024
📅 15/12/2024
00:15
Racing Club Racing Club
2.78
X
3.25
River Plate River Plate
2.49

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Racing Club x River Plate:

🔮 Racing Club wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Racing Club, you can win up to $1390.00!

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The main points for the tip for Racing Club x River Plate:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Racing Club in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $281.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on River Plate in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-55.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Racing Club scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, River Plate scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Racing Club matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 River Plate matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Racing Club x River Plate, with Racing Club as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Racing Club conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, River Plate conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Racing Club conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against River Plate.
👉 Even as a visitor, River Plate won the last 3 head-to-head matches Racing Club´s territory

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Summary

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Analysis from Racing Club x River Plate for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 15 of December

🏟️ Racing Club X River Plate – Argentina Liga Profesional
📅 15 of December, 2024 – 00:15
🔵 Racing Club – Winning probability: 45.35% | Fair line: 2.21
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.78% | Fair line: 4.81
🔴 River Plate – Winning probability: 33.88% | Fair line: 2.95
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Racing Club
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Racing Club and River Plate.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1236700 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Racing Club x River Plate

Is it a good idea to bet on Racing Club?

🔵 Racing Club: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 45.35%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.78. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 450 times – this would give you a profit of $801.00
  • And would lose other 550 times – having a loss of -$550.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$251.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $472.50;
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$317.50.

Should you bet on River Plate?

🔴 River Plate: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.49. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $506.60
  • And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$153.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Racing Club x River Plate

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Racing Club
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Racing Club x River Plate

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Racing Club, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Racing Club.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Racing Club x River Plate

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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