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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Rakow Czestochowa x Cracovia Krakow Betting tips for November 25 in Poland Ekstraklasa
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Poland Ekstraklasa
Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa
PREDICTION Rakow Czestochowa wins Probability 10% 1 X 2
Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow
ODD: @1.5 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Rakow Czestochowa x Cracovia Krakow Betting tips for November 25 in Poland Ekstraklasa

Our betting tip for Rakow Czestochowa x Cracovia Krakow, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
14:00
Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa
1.50
X
4.20
Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow
5.75

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Rakow Czestochowa x Cracovia Krakow:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Rakow Czestochowa wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Rakow Czestochowa, you can win up to $750.00!

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The main points for the tip for Rakow Czestochowa x Cracovia Krakow:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Rakow Czestochowa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-183.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Cracovia Krakow in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-55.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Rakow Czestochowa scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Cracovia Krakow matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Rakow Czestochowa has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Cracovia Krakow playing at home.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Rakow Czestochowa x Cracovia Krakow

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Summary

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Analysis from Rakow Czestochowa x Cracovia Krakow for the Poland Ekstraklasa – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Rakow Czestochowa X Cracovia Krakow – Poland Ekstraklasa
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 14:00
๐Ÿ”ต Rakow Czestochowa – Winning probability: 72.51% | Fair line: 1.38
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.76% | Fair line: 5.97
๐Ÿ”ด Cracovia Krakow – Winning probability: 10.73% | Fair line: 9.32
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Rakow Czestochowa
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Rakow Czestochowa x Cracovia Krakow is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1025263 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Rakow Czestochowa x Cracovia Krakow

Is it a good idea to bet on Rakow Czestochowa?

๐Ÿ”ต Rakow Czestochowa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 72.51%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 730 times – profiting $365.00;
  • And would lose other 270 times – losing -$270.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$95.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.76% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $544.00
  • And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$286.00.

Should you bet on Cracovia Krakow?

๐Ÿ”ด Cracovia Krakow: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.73% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $522.50;
  • And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$367.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Rakow Czestochowa x Cracovia Krakow

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Rakow Czestochowa
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Rakow Czestochowa x Cracovia Krakow

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Rakow Czestochowa and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Rakow Czestochowa.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Rakow Czestochowa.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Rakow Czestochowa x Cracovia Krakow

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves