Rayo Majadahonda x Cacereno Betting tips for March 29 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5

Our betting tip for Rayo Majadahonda x Cacereno, Saturday, 29/3/2025

📅 29/3/2025 19:30

Rayo Majadahonda 2.52

X 2.75

Cacereno 2.80

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Rayo Majadahonda x Cacereno:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Rayo Majadahonda x Cacereno

Important information for your tip for Rayo Majadahonda x Cacereno: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Rayo Majadahonda in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-317.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cacereno in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $381.0. 👉 In the last 3 Rayo Majadahonda matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Cacereno conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Rayo Majadahonda x Cacereno for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 – 29 of March

When the best bet on Rayo Majadahonda x Cacereno is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1290777 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Rayo Majadahonda x Cacereno

Should you bet on Rayo Majadahonda?

🔵 Rayo Majadahonda: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 40.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.52. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $623.20;
• And would lose other 590 times – losing -$590.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$33.20, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.67% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 320 times – profiting $560.00;
• And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$120.00.

Is it worth betting on Cacereno?

🔴 Cacereno: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 280 times – profiting $504.00;
• And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$216.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Rayo Majadahonda x Cacereno

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Rayo Majadahonda
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Rayo Majadahonda x Cacereno

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Rayo Majadahonda, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Rayo Majadahonda.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Rayo Majadahonda.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Rayo Majadahonda x Cacereno

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.