Reading x Cambridge Utd Betting tips for December 3 in England League 1
| 📅 3/12/2024 20:00 |
 Reading1.74 |
X 3.70 |
Cambridge Utd  4.33 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Reading x Cambridge Utd:
🔮 Reading wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Reading, you can win up to $870.00!
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The main points for the tip for Reading x Cambridge Utd: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Reading in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $303.0. |
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Analysis from Reading x Cambridge Utd for the England League 1 – 3 of December
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🏟️ Reading X Cambridge Utd – England League 1 |
When the best bet on Reading x Cambridge Utd is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1232346 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Reading x Cambridge Utd
Is it a good idea to bet on Reading?
🔵 Reading: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 67.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.74. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 680 times – profiting $503.20;
- And would have lost other 320 times – with a loss of -$320.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$183.20.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.32% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $513.00;
- And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$297.00.
Is betting on Cambridge Utd worth it?
🔴 Cambridge Utd: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.18% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.33. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $432.90
- And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$437.10.
Handicaps analysis for the match Reading x Cambridge Utd
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Reading
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Reading x Cambridge Utd
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Reading and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Reading.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Reading x Cambridge Utd
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
