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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Real Betis x Rayo Vallecano Betting tips for December 22 in Spain La Liga
Sunday, 22 December 2024, 20h00 Spain La Liga
Real Betis Real Betis
PREDICTION No tip
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
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Real Betis x Rayo Vallecano Betting tips for December 22 in Spain La Liga

Our betting tip for Real Betis x Rayo Vallecano, Sunday, 22/12/2024
πŸ“… 22/12/2024
20:00
Real Betis Real Betis
1.88
X
3.32
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
4.28

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Real Betis x Rayo Vallecano:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Real Betis x Rayo Vallecano

The main points for the tip for Real Betis x Rayo Vallecano:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Real Betis in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $67.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Rayo Vallecano in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $143.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Real Betis scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Rayo Vallecano scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Rayo Vallecano, Real Betis scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Rayo Vallecano has not lost any of them.
πŸ‘‰ Real Betis has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Rayo Vallecano playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Real Betis x Rayo Vallecano for the Spain La Liga – 22 of December

🏟️ Real Betis X Rayo Vallecano – Spain La Liga
πŸ“… 22 of December, 2024 – 20:00
πŸ”΅ Real Betis – Winning probability: 60.05% | Fair line: 1.67
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.21% | Fair line: 3.82
πŸ”΄ Rayo Vallecano – Winning probability: 13.74% | Fair line: 7.28
βš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Real Betis
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Real Betis and Rayo Vallecano.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1238880 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Real Betis x Rayo Vallecano

Should you bet on Real Betis?

πŸ”΅ Real Betis: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 60.05% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.88. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 600 times – having a profit of $528.00;
  • And would lose other 400 times – having a loss of -$400.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$128.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.21% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.32. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $603.20
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$136.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on Rayo Vallecano?

πŸ”΄ Rayo Vallecano: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.74%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.28. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $459.20
  • And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$400.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Real Betis x Rayo Vallecano

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Real Betis
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Real Betis x Rayo Vallecano

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Real Betis and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Real Betis.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Real Betis.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Real Betis x Rayo Vallecano

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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