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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Real Calepina FC x Sondrio Betting tips for December 14 in Italy Serie D
Sunday, 14 December 2025, 13h30 Italy Serie D
Real Calepina FC Real Calepina FC
PREDICTION No tip
Sondrio Sondrio
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Real Calepina FC x Sondrio Betting tips for December 14 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Real Calepina FC x Sondrio, Sunday, 14/12/2025
πŸ“… 14/12/2025
13:30
Real Calepina FC Real Calepina FC
2.12
X
3.22
Sondrio Sondrio
3.08

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Real Calepina FC x Sondrio:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Real Calepina FC x Sondrio

The main points for the tip for Real Calepina FC x Sondrio:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Real Calepina FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sondrio in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-28.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Sondrio scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 Sondrio matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the home team, Real Calepina FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Sondrio conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Real Calepina FC x Sondrio for the Italy Serie D – 14 of December

🏟️ Real Calepina FC X Sondrio – Italy Serie D
πŸ“… 14 of December, 2025 – 13:30
πŸ”΅ Real Calepina FC – Winning probability: 43.40% | Fair line: 2.3
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.53% | Fair line: 3.63
πŸ”΄ Sondrio – Winning probability: 29.07% | Fair line: 3.44
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Real Calepina FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Real Calepina FC and Sondrio.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1452657 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Real Calepina FC x Sondrio

Is it worth betting on Real Calepina FC?

πŸ”΅ Real Calepina FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 43.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.12. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 430 times – having a profit of $481.60;
  • And would have lost other 570 times – with a loss of -$570.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$88.40.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.53%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.22. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $621.60;
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$98.40.

Is it worth betting on Sondrio?

πŸ”΄ Sondrio: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.07% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.08. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $603.20
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$106.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Real Calepina FC x Sondrio

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Real Calepina FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Real Calepina FC x Sondrio

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Real Calepina FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Real Calepina FC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Sondrio.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Real Calepina FC x Sondrio

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves