Clube da Aposta Clube da Aposta menu  
What would you like to find?
fundo 1
free bonus kenya betting
Home » Predictions » Others » Real Espana x Motagua Betting tips for December 25 in Honduras Liga Nacional
Thursday, 25 December 2025, 01h00 Honduras Liga Nacional
Real Espana Real Espana
PREDICTION No tip
Motagua Motagua
Bonus 100% up to $500
THECLUB Use code

Real Espana x Motagua Betting tips for December 25 in Honduras Liga Nacional

Our betting tip for Real Espana x Motagua, Thursday, 25/12/2025
📅 25/12/2025
01:00
Real Espana Real Espana
1.91
X
3.30
Motagua Motagua
3.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Real Espana x Motagua:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Real Espana x Motagua

Some important points for the tip for Real Espana x Motagua:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Espana in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-233.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Motagua in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-25.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Motagua, Real Espana scored at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Real Espana x Motagua?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Real Espana x Motagua, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Real Espana x Motagua for the Honduras Liga Nacional – 25 of December

🏟️ Real Espana X Motagua – Honduras Liga Nacional
📅 25 of December, 2025 – 01:00
🔵 Real Espana – Winning probability: 62.15% | Fair line: 1.61
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.04% | Fair line: 5.87
🔴 Motagua – Winning probability: 20.81% | Fair line: 4.8
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Real Espana
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Real Espana x Motagua right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1455955 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Real Espana x Motagua

Should you bet on Real Espana?

🔵 Real Espana: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 62.15%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.91. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 620 times – having a profit of $564.20;
  • And would lose other 380 times – losing -$380.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$184.20. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.04% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $391.00;
  • And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$439.00.

Is it worth betting on Motagua?

🔴 Motagua: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.81%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $525.00;
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$265.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Real Espana x Motagua

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Real Espana
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Real Espana x Motagua

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Real Espana and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Real Espana.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Motagua.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Real Espana x Motagua

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves