Real Madrid x Real Sociedad Betting tips for April 1 in Spain Copa del Rey

Our betting tip for Real Madrid x Real Sociedad, Tuesday, 1/4/2025

📅 1/4/2025 19:30

Real Madrid 1.34

X 5.25

Real Sociedad 8.32

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Real Madrid x Real Sociedad:

🔮 Real Madrid wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Real Madrid, you can win up to $670.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Real Madrid x Real Sociedad: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Madrid in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $251.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Sociedad in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-290.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Real Madrid scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Real Madrid matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 Real Sociedad matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Real Madrid conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Real Sociedad conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Real Madrid is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Real Madrid has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Real Sociedad playing at home.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Real Madrid x Real Sociedad?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Real Madrid x Real Sociedad for the Spain Copa del Rey – 1 of April

When the best bet on Real Madrid x Real Sociedad is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1293364 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Real Madrid x Real Sociedad

Is betting on Real Madrid worth it?

🔵 Real Madrid: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 89.14%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.34. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 890 times – profiting $302.60;
• And would lose other 110 times – losing -$110.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$192.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.97%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $297.50;
• And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$632.50.

Is betting on Real Sociedad worth it?

🔴 Real Sociedad: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.89% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 8.32. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 40 times – profiting $292.80;
• And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$667.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Real Madrid x Real Sociedad

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Real Madrid
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Real Madrid x Real Sociedad

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 Real Madrid, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Real Madrid. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Real Madrid x Real Sociedad

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.