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Home » Predictions » Others » Real Murcia x Sabadell Betting tips for December 13 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2
Saturday, 13 December 2025, 20h00 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2
Real Murcia Real Murcia
PREDICTION No tip
Sabadell Sabadell
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Real Murcia x Sabadell Betting tips for December 13 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2

Our betting tip for Real Murcia x Sabadell, Saturday, 13/12/2025
📅 13/12/2025
20:00
Real Murcia Real Murcia
2.18
X
2.80
Sabadell Sabadell
3.55

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Real Murcia x Sabadell:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Real Murcia x Sabadell

Some important points for the tip for Real Murcia x Sabadell:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Murcia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $160.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sabadell in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-142.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Sabadell, Real Murcia scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Sabadell conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Real Murcia conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Sabadell.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Real Murcia x Sabadell?

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Analysis from Real Murcia x Sabadell for the Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 – 13 of December

🏟️ Real Murcia X Sabadell – Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2
📅 13 of December, 2025 – 20:00
🔵 Real Murcia – Winning probability: 47.10% | Fair line: 2.12
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.11% | Fair line: 3.02
🔴 Sabadell – Winning probability: 19.78% | Fair line: 5.05
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Real Murcia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Real Murcia x Sabadell right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1452291 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Real Murcia x Sabadell

Is it worth betting on Real Murcia?

🔵 Real Murcia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 47.1%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.18. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 470 times – this would give you a profit of $554.60
  • And would have lost other 530 times – with a loss of -$530.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$24.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.11% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $594.00;
  • And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$76.00.

Should you bet on Sabadell?

🔴 Sabadell: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.78%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $510.00;
  • And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$290.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Real Murcia x Sabadell

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Real Murcia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Real Murcia x Sabadell

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Real Murcia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Real Murcia.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Real Murcia x Sabadell

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves