Real Soacha Cundinamarca x Barranquilla FC Betting tips for September 30 in Colombia Primera B
| 📅 30/9/2024 21:30 |
 Real Soacha Cundinamarca1.70 |
X 3.50 |
Barranquilla FC  4.30 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Real Soacha Cundinamarca x Barranquilla FC:
🔮 Real Soacha Cundinamarca wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Real Soacha Cundinamarca, you can win up to $850.00!
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Important information for your tip for Real Soacha Cundinamarca x Barranquilla FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Soacha Cundinamarca in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $389.0. |
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Analysis from Real Soacha Cundinamarca x Barranquilla FC for the Colombia Primera B – 30 of September
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🏟️ Real Soacha Cundinamarca X Barranquilla FC – Colombia Primera B |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Real Soacha Cundinamarca and Barranquilla FC.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1192575 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Real Soacha Cundinamarca x Barranquilla FC
Is it worth betting on Real Soacha Cundinamarca?
🔵 Real Soacha Cundinamarca: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 58.37% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 580 times – this would give you a profit of $406.00
- And would have lost other 420 times – with a loss of -$420.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$14.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.82% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $675.00;
- And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$55.00.
Is betting on Barranquilla FC worth it?
🔴 Barranquilla FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.81%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 150 times – profiting $495.00;
- And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$355.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Real Soacha Cundinamarca x Barranquilla FC
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Real Soacha Cundinamarca
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Real Soacha Cundinamarca x Barranquilla FC
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Real Soacha Cundinamarca, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Real Soacha Cundinamarca.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Barranquilla FC.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Real Soacha Cundinamarca x Barranquilla FC
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
