Real Sociedad x Girona Betting tips for December 12 in Spain La Liga
| 📅 12/12/2025 20:00 |
 Real Sociedad1.70 |
X 3.80 |
Girona  4.61 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Real Sociedad x Girona:
🔮 Real Sociedad wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Real Sociedad, you can win up to $850.00!
The main points for the tip for Real Sociedad x Girona:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Sociedad in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $150.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Girona in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-388.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Real Sociedad scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Girona, Real Sociedad scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Real Sociedad matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Real Sociedad conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Girona conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Real Sociedad conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Girona.
👉 Real Sociedad has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Girona playing at home.
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Analysis from Real Sociedad x Girona for the Spain La Liga – 12 of December
🏟️ Real Sociedad X Girona – Spain La Liga
📅 12 of December, 2025 – 20:00
🔵 Real Sociedad – Winning probability: 73.37% | Fair line: 1.36
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.33% | Fair line: 5.17
🔴 Girona – Winning probability: 7.30% | Fair line: 13.71
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Real Sociedad
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Real Sociedad x Girona right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1451605 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Real Sociedad x Girona
Is betting on Real Sociedad worth it?
🔵 Real Sociedad: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 73.37%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 730 times – profiting $511.00;
- And would lose other 270 times – having a loss of -$270.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$241.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.33% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $532.00;
- And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$278.00.
Is it worth betting on Girona?
🔴 Girona: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.3% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.61. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $252.70
- And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$677.30.
Handicaps analysis for the match Real Sociedad x Girona
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Real Sociedad
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Real Sociedad x Girona
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Real Sociedad, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Real Sociedad.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Girona.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Real Sociedad x Girona
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.
