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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Real Tomayapo x Independiente Petrolero Betting tips for November 24 in Bolivia Clausura
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Bolivia Clausura
Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo
PREDICTION Real Tomayapo wins Probability 13% 1 X 2
Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero
ODD: @1.72 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Real Tomayapo x Independiente Petrolero Betting tips for November 24 in Bolivia Clausura

Our betting tip for Real Tomayapo x Independiente Petrolero, Friday, 24/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 24/11/2023
23:30
Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo
1.72
X
3.60
Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero
4.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Real Tomayapo x Independiente Petrolero:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Real Tomayapo wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Real Tomayapo, you can win up to $860.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Real Tomayapo x Independiente Petrolero:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Real Tomayapo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-90.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Independiente Petrolero in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $870.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Independiente Petrolero scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 Real Tomayapo matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Real Tomayapo x Independiente Petrolero, with Real Tomayapo as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Independiente Petrolero conceded at least 1 goal(s).

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Real Tomayapo x Independiente Petrolero

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Real Tomayapo x Independiente Petrolero for the Bolivia Clausura – 24 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Real Tomayapo X Independiente Petrolero – Bolivia Clausura
๐Ÿ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 23:30
๐Ÿ”ต Real Tomayapo – Winning probability: 57.46% | Fair line: 1.74
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.56% | Fair line: 3.5
๐Ÿ”ด Independiente Petrolero – Winning probability: 13.98% | Fair line: 7.15
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Real Tomayapo
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Real Tomayapo x Independiente Petrolero right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1024961 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Real Tomayapo x Independiente Petrolero

Is it worth betting on Real Tomayapo?

๐Ÿ”ต Real Tomayapo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 57.46%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.72. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 570 times – profiting $410.40;
  • And would lose other 430 times – having a loss of -$430.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$19.60.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – profiting $754.00;
  • And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just ๐Ÿ’ฐ$44.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is betting on Independiente Petrolero worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Independiente Petrolero: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.98%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – profiting $420.00;
  • And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$440.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Real Tomayapo x Independiente Petrolero

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Real Tomayapo
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Real Tomayapo x Independiente Petrolero

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Real Tomayapo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Real Tomayapo.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Real Tomayapo x Independiente Petrolero

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves