Real Zaragoza x Oviedo Betting tips for December 17 in Spain Segunda

Our betting tip for Real Zaragoza x Oviedo, Tuesday, 17/12/2024

📅 17/12/2024 20:15

Real Zaragoza 2.46

X 2.95

Oviedo 3.02

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Real Zaragoza x Oviedo:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Real Zaragoza x Oviedo

Important information for your tip for Real Zaragoza x Oviedo: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Zaragoza in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-290.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Oviedo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-275.0. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Real Zaragoza x Oviedo, with Real Zaragoza as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Oviedo matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Oviedo conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Real Zaragoza has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Oviedo playing at home.

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Analysis from Real Zaragoza x Oviedo for the Spain Segunda – 17 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Real Zaragoza x Oviedo right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1237062 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Real Zaragoza x Oviedo

Is betting on Real Zaragoza worth it?

🔵 Real Zaragoza: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 38.96% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.46. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 390 times – having a profit of $569.40;
• And would lose other 610 times – losing -$610.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$40.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.02%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 330 times – profiting $643.50;
• And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$26.50, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on Oviedo?

🔴 Oviedo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.02%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.02. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $565.60
• And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$154.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Real Zaragoza x Oviedo

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Real Zaragoza
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Real Zaragoza x Oviedo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Real Zaragoza and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Real Zaragoza.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Oviedo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Real Zaragoza x Oviedo

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.