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Home » Predictions » Reggina x ASD Ragusa Betting tips for September 29 in Italy Serie D
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 10h00 Italy Serie D
Reggina Reggina
PREDICTION Reggina wins Probability 79% 1 X 2
ASD Ragusa ASD Ragusa
ODD: @1.46 Don't miss this prediction!

Reggina x ASD Ragusa Betting tips for September 29 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Reggina x ASD Ragusa, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
10:00
Reggina Reggina
1.46
X
4.00
ASD Ragusa ASD Ragusa
5.86

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Reggina x ASD Ragusa:

🔮 Reggina wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Reggina, you can win up to $730.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Reggina x ASD Ragusa:

👉 If you had bet $100 on ASD Ragusa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 ASD Ragusa did not score any goals in the last 5 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 3 Reggina matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Reggina x ASD Ragusa for the Italy Serie D – 29 of September

🏟️ Reggina X ASD Ragusa – Italy Serie D
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 10:00
🔵 Reggina – Winning probability: 79.05% | Fair line: 1.26
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.65% | Fair line: 6.82
🔴 ASD Ragusa – Winning probability: 6.29% | Fair line: 15.89
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Reggina
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Reggina x ASD Ragusa is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Reggina x ASD Ragusa

Should you bet on Reggina?

🔵 Reggina: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 79.05% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.46. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 790 times – profiting $363.40;
  • And would lose other 210 times – losing -$210.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$153.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.65% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $450.00;
  • And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$400.00.

Is it worth betting on ASD Ragusa?

🔴 ASD Ragusa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.29%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.86. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $291.60
  • And would lose other 940 times – losing -$940.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$648.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Reggina x ASD Ragusa

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Reggina
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Reggina x ASD Ragusa

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Reggina and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Reggina. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Reggina x ASD Ragusa

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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