Rep of Ireland x Finland Betting tips for November 14 in UEFA Nations League B
| 📅 14/11/2024 19:45 |
 Rep of Ireland1.71 |
X 3.51 |
Finland  5.00 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Rep of Ireland x Finland:
🔮 Rep of Ireland wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Rep of Ireland, you can win up to $855.00!
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Important information for your tip for Rep of Ireland x Finland: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Rep of Ireland in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-210.0. |
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Analysis from Rep of Ireland x Finland for the UEFA Nations League B – 14 of November
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🏟️ Rep of Ireland X Finland – UEFA Nations League B |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Rep of Ireland and Finland.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1221188 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Rep of Ireland x Finland
Is betting on Rep of Ireland worth it?
🔵 Rep of Ireland: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 77.29% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.71. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 770 times – having a profit of $546.70;
- And would have lost other 230 times – with a loss of -$230.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$316.70.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.71% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.51. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $401.60
- And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$438.40.
Is it a good idea to bet on Finland?
🔴 Finland: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.0%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $280.00;
- And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$650.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Rep of Ireland x Finland
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Rep of Ireland
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Rep of Ireland x Finland
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Rep of Ireland, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Rep of Ireland.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Rep of Ireland x Finland
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
