River Plate x Velez Sarsfield Betting tips for October 19 in Argentina Liga Profesional
| 📅 19/10/2024 00:00 |
 River Plate2.00 |
X 3.20 |
Velez Sarsfield  3.60 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for River Plate x Velez Sarsfield:
🔮 River Plate wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on River Plate, you can win up to $1000.00!
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The main points for the tip for River Plate x Velez Sarsfield: 👉 If you had bet $100 on River Plate in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-52.0. |
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Analysis from River Plate x Velez Sarsfield for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 19 of October
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🏟️ River Plate X Velez Sarsfield – Argentina Liga Profesional |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for River Plate x Velez Sarsfield right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1203336 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for River Plate x Velez Sarsfield
Is it worth betting on River Plate?
🔵 River Plate: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 51.11%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 510 times – this would give you a profit of $510.00
- And would lose other 490 times – having a loss of -$490.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$20.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.84% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $660.00;
- And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$40.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Is betting on Velez Sarsfield worth it?
🔴 Velez Sarsfield: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.05% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 190 times – profiting $494.00;
- And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$316.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match River Plate x Velez Sarsfield
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 River Plate
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for River Plate x Velez Sarsfield
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 River Plate, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 River Plate.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for River Plate x Velez Sarsfield
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
