Roda JC x Vitesse Betting tips for November 26 in Netherlands Eerste Divisie

Our betting tip for Roda JC x Vitesse, Tuesday, 26/11/2024

📅 26/11/2024 19:00

Roda JC 1.60

X 4.00

Vitesse 4.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Roda JC x Vitesse:

🔮 Roda JC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Roda JC, you can win up to $800.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Roda JC x Vitesse: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Roda JC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $335.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Vitesse in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Roda JC scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Vitesse conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Roda JC conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Vitesse. 👉 Roda JC is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Even as a visitor, Vitesse won the last 3 head-to-head matches Roda JC´s territory

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Analysis from Roda JC x Vitesse for the Netherlands Eerste Divisie – 26 of November

When the best bet on Roda JC x Vitesse is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1227868 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Roda JC x Vitesse

Is betting on Roda JC worth it?

🔵 Roda JC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 81.03% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 810 times – profiting $486.00;
• And would lose other 190 times – losing -$190.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$296.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.45% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 90 times – profiting $270.00;
• And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$640.00.

Is it worth betting on Vitesse?

🔴 Vitesse: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $350.00;
• And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$550.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Roda JC x Vitesse

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Roda JC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Roda JC x Vitesse

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Roda JC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Roda JC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Roda JC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Roda JC x Vitesse

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.