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Home Β» Predictions Β» Rodina-2 x Dzerzhinsk Betting tips for September 29 in Russia Division 2
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 12h00 Russia Division 2
Rodina-2 Rodina-2
PREDICTION No tip
Dzerzhinsk Dzerzhinsk
Don't miss this prediction!

Rodina-2 x Dzerzhinsk Betting tips for September 29 in Russia Division 2

Our betting tip for Rodina-2 x Dzerzhinsk, Sunday, 29/9/2024
πŸ“… 29/9/2024
12:00
Rodina-2 Rodina-2
1.68
X
3.52
Dzerzhinsk Dzerzhinsk
4.40

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Rodina-2 x Dzerzhinsk:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Rodina-2 x Dzerzhinsk

The main points for the tip for Rodina-2 x Dzerzhinsk:

πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Dzerzhinsk scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Rodina-2 matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Dzerzhinsk matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Dzerzhinsk conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Rodina-2 x Dzerzhinsk?

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Analysis from Rodina-2 x Dzerzhinsk for the Russia Division 2 – 29 of September

🏟️ Rodina-2 X Dzerzhinsk – Russia Division 2
πŸ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 12:00
πŸ”΅ Rodina-2 – Winning probability: 60.54% | Fair line: 1.65
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.35% | Fair line: 3.79
πŸ”΄ Dzerzhinsk – Winning probability: 13.11% | Fair line: 7.63
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Rodina-2
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Rodina-2 x Dzerzhinsk is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Rodina-2 x Dzerzhinsk

Is it worth betting on Rodina-2?

πŸ”΅ Rodina-2: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 60.54%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.68. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 610 times – having a profit of $414.80;
  • And would lose other 390 times – losing -$390.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$24.80, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.35% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.52. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – profiting $655.20;
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$84.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on Dzerzhinsk?

πŸ”΄ Dzerzhinsk: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.11%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – profiting $442.00;
  • And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$428.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Rodina-2 x Dzerzhinsk

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Rodina-2
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Rodina-2 x Dzerzhinsk

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Rodina-2 and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Rodina-2.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Rodina-2 x Dzerzhinsk

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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