Rostov x Krylia Sovetov Betting tips for December 7 in Russia Premier League

Our betting tip for Rostov x Krylia Sovetov, Saturday, 7/12/2024

📅 7/12/2024 13:30

Rostov 1.78

X 3.70

Krylia Sovetov 4.09

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Rostov x Krylia Sovetov:

🔮 Rostov wins the match
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Important information for your tip for Rostov x Krylia Sovetov: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Rostov in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $170.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Krylia Sovetov in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $470.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Rostov scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Krylia Sovetov, Rostov scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 Rostov matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Krylia Sovetov conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Rostov is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Rostov has won all the last 4 matches playing at home against Krylia Sovetov.

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Analysis from Rostov x Krylia Sovetov for the Russia Premier League – 7 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Rostov x Krylia Sovetov right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1233239 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Rostov x Krylia Sovetov

Is it a good idea to bet on Rostov?

🔵 Rostov: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 62.3% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.78. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 620 times – having a profit of $483.60;
• And would lose other 380 times – having a loss of -$380.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$103.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.17% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $540.00
• And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$260.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Krylia Sovetov?

🔴 Krylia Sovetov: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.53% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.09. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 180 times – profiting $556.20;
• And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$263.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Rostov x Krylia Sovetov

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Rostov
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Rostov x Krylia Sovetov

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Rostov and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Rostov.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Rostov.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Rostov x Krylia Sovetov

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.