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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Rostov U19 x PFC Sochi U19 Betting tips for November 24 in Russia Youth Championship
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Russia Youth Championship
Rostov U19 Rostov U19
PREDICTION No tip
PFC Sochi U19 PFC Sochi U19
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Rostov U19 x PFC Sochi U19 Betting tips for November 24 in Russia Youth Championship

Our betting tip for Rostov U19 x PFC Sochi U19, Friday, 24/11/2023
πŸ“… 24/11/2023
14:00
Rostov U19 Rostov U19
1.66
X
4.25
PFC Sochi U19 PFC Sochi U19
4.35

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Rostov U19 x PFC Sochi U19:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Rostov U19 x PFC Sochi U19

Important information for your tip for Rostov U19 x PFC Sochi U19:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Rostov U19 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $7.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on PFC Sochi U19 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $183.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, PFC Sochi U19 scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against PFC Sochi U19, Rostov U19 scored at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Rostov U19 x PFC Sochi U19, with Rostov U19 as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Rostov U19 conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against PFC Sochi U19.
πŸ‘‰ Rostov U19 has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against PFC Sochi U19.

πŸ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Rostov U19 x PFC Sochi U19

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Summary

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Analysis from Rostov U19 x PFC Sochi U19 for the Russia Youth Championship – 24 of November

🏟️ Rostov U19 X PFC Sochi U19 – Russia Youth Championship
πŸ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 14:00
πŸ”΅ Rostov U19 – Winning probability: 51.96% | Fair line: 1.92
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.64% | Fair line: 4.06
πŸ”΄ PFC Sochi U19 – Winning probability: 23.40% | Fair line: 4.27
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Rostov U19
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Rostov U19 x PFC Sochi U19 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024961 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Rostov U19 x PFC Sochi U19

Is it worth betting on Rostov U19?

πŸ”΅ Rostov U19: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 51.96% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.66. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 520 times – having a profit of $343.20;
  • And would lose other 480 times – having a loss of -$480.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$136.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.64% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $812.50
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$62.50, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is betting on PFC Sochi U19 worth it?

πŸ”΄ PFC Sochi U19: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $770.50;
  • And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$0.50, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Rostov U19 x PFC Sochi U19

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Rostov U19
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Rostov U19 x PFC Sochi U19

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Rostov U19, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Rostov U19.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 PFC Sochi U19.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Rostov U19 x PFC Sochi U19

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves