Sacramento Republic x New Mexico United Betting tips for September 29 in USA USL Championship

Our betting tip for Sacramento Republic x New Mexico United, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 21:30

Sacramento Republic 1.94

X 3.25

New Mexico United 3.50

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Sacramento Republic x New Mexico United:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Sacramento Republic x New Mexico United

Some important points for the tip for Sacramento Republic x New Mexico United: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sacramento Republic in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-13.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on New Mexico United in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $335.0. 👉 Sacramento Republic did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Sacramento Republic scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 Sacramento Republic matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 New Mexico United matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Sacramento Republic x New Mexico United, with Sacramento Republic as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Sacramento Republic is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Sacramento Republic has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against New Mexico United playing at home.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Sacramento Republic x New Mexico United?

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Analysis from Sacramento Republic x New Mexico United for the USA USL Championship – 29 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Sacramento Republic and New Mexico United.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1191083 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Sacramento Republic x New Mexico United

Should you bet on Sacramento Republic?

🔵 Sacramento Republic: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 56.3% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.94. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 560 times – profiting $526.40;
• And would have lost other 440 times – with a loss of -$440.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$86.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $630.00;
• And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$90.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on New Mexico United?

🔴 New Mexico United: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $400.00;
• And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$440.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Sacramento Republic x New Mexico United

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Sacramento Republic
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sacramento Republic x New Mexico United

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Sacramento Republic, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Sacramento Republic.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 New Mexico United.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sacramento Republic x New Mexico United

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.