Sagamihara x FC Imabari Betting tips for September 21 in Japan J3-League
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21/9/2024 06:00 |
Sagamihara 3.55 |
X 3.12 |
FC Imabari 1.98 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Sagamihara x FC Imabari:
๐ฎ FC Imabari wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Imabari, you can win up to $990.00!
The main points for the tip for Sagamihara x FC Imabari: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Sagamihara in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $70.0. |
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Analysis from Sagamihara x FC Imabari for the Japan J3-League – 21 of September
๐๏ธ Sagamihara X FC Imabari – Japan J3-League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sagamihara x FC Imabari right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1184915 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Sagamihara x FC Imabari
Is betting on Sagamihara worth it?
๐ต Sagamihara: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.49% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 140 times – profiting $357.00;
- And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$503.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.12. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $530.00
- And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$220.00.
Should you bet on FC Imabari?
๐ด FC Imabari: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 60.12% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.98. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 600 times – having a profit of $588.00;
- And would lose other 400 times – losing -$400.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$188.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Sagamihara x FC Imabari
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
โ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Sagamihara
โฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sagamihara x FC Imabari
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Sagamihara, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Sagamihara.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 FC Imabari.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sagamihara x FC Imabari
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.