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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Sakaryaspor x Erzurum BB Betting tips for November 24 in Turkey 1 Lig
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Turkey 1 Lig
Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor
PREDICTION Sakaryaspor wins Probability 9% 1 X 2
Erzurum BB Erzurum BB
ODD: @1.67 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Sakaryaspor x Erzurum BB Betting tips for November 24 in Turkey 1 Lig

Our betting tip for Sakaryaspor x Erzurum BB, Friday, 24/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 24/11/2023
17:00
Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor
1.67
X
3.60
Erzurum BB Erzurum BB
4.47

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Sakaryaspor x Erzurum BB:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Sakaryaspor wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sakaryaspor, you can win up to $835.00!

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Important information for your tip for Sakaryaspor x Erzurum BB:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sakaryaspor in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $167.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Erzurum BB in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-210.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Sakaryaspor scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Erzurum BB, Sakaryaspor scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 Sakaryaspor matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 Erzurum BB matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Sakaryaspor x Erzurum BB, with Sakaryaspor as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Sakaryaspor has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Erzurum BB playing at home.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Sakaryaspor x Erzurum BB

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Summary

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Analysis from Sakaryaspor x Erzurum BB for the Turkey 1 Lig – 24 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Sakaryaspor X Erzurum BB – Turkey 1 Lig
๐Ÿ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 17:00
๐Ÿ”ต Sakaryaspor – Winning probability: 69.09% | Fair line: 1.45
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.54% | Fair line: 4.64
๐Ÿ”ด Erzurum BB – Winning probability: 9.37% | Fair line: 10.67
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Sakaryaspor
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sakaryaspor x Erzurum BB right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024961 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sakaryaspor x Erzurum BB

Is betting on Sakaryaspor worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Sakaryaspor: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 69.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.67. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 690 times – this would give you a profit of $462.30
  • And would lose other 310 times – having a loss of -$310.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$152.30.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.54% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $572.00;
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$208.00.

Should you bet on Erzurum BB?

๐Ÿ”ด Erzurum BB: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.37% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.47. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $312.30
  • And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$597.70.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Sakaryaspor x Erzurum BB

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Sakaryaspor
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sakaryaspor x Erzurum BB

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Sakaryaspor, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Sakaryaspor.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sakaryaspor x Erzurum BB

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves