Salgueiros x Beira Mar Betting tips for November 30 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for Salgueiros x Beira Mar, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 15:00

Salgueiros 1.91

X 3.20

Beira Mar 3.60

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Salgueiros x Beira Mar:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Salgueiros x Beira Mar

Important information for your tip for Salgueiros x Beira Mar: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Salgueiros in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $220.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Beira Mar in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-100.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Salgueiros scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Beira Mar scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Salgueiros is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 In the last 8 road matches, Beira Mar has not lost any of them.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Salgueiros x Beira Mar?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Salgueiros x Beira Mar:

Analysis from Salgueiros x Beira Mar for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 30 of November

When the best bet on Salgueiros x Beira Mar is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Salgueiros x Beira Mar

Is it worth betting on Salgueiros?

🔵 Salgueiros: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 48.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.91. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 490 times – profiting $445.90;
• And would lose other 510 times – losing -$510.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$64.10.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.87% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 320 times – profiting $704.00;
• And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$24.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it worth betting on Beira Mar?

🔴 Beira Mar: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.23%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $494.00;
• And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$316.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Salgueiros x Beira Mar

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Salgueiros
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Salgueiros x Beira Mar

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Salgueiros and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Salgueiros.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Beira Mar.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Salgueiros x Beira Mar

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.