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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Salisbury FC x Dorchester Betting tips for November 25 in England Southern Premier League South
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 England Southern Premier League South
Salisbury FC Salisbury FC
PREDICTION Salisbury FC wins Probability 10% 1 X 2
Dorchester Dorchester
ODD: @1.45 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Salisbury FC x Dorchester Betting tips for November 25 in England Southern Premier League South

Our betting tip for Salisbury FC x Dorchester, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
15:00
Salisbury FC Salisbury FC
1.45
X
4.50
Dorchester Dorchester
5.20

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Salisbury FC x Dorchester:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Salisbury FC wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Salisbury FC, you can win up to $725.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Salisbury FC x Dorchester:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Salisbury FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $325.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Dorchester in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Salisbury FC scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the away team, Dorchester conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Salisbury FC conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Dorchester.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Salisbury FC is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Salisbury FC x Dorchester

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Summary

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Analysis from Salisbury FC x Dorchester for the England Southern Premier League South – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Salisbury FC X Dorchester – England Southern Premier League South
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:00
๐Ÿ”ต Salisbury FC – Winning probability: 72.25% | Fair line: 1.38
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.37% | Fair line: 5.76
๐Ÿ”ด Dorchester – Winning probability: 10.38% | Fair line: 9.63
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Salisbury FC
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Salisbury FC x Dorchester right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1025263 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Salisbury FC x Dorchester

Is it worth betting on Salisbury FC?

๐Ÿ”ต Salisbury FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 72.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 720 times – this would give you a profit of $324.00
  • And would lose other 280 times – losing -$280.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$44.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.37%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $595.00;
  • And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$235.00.

Is it worth betting on Dorchester?

๐Ÿ”ด Dorchester: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $420.00;
  • And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$480.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Salisbury FC x Dorchester

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Salisbury FC
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Salisbury FC x Dorchester

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 Salisbury FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Salisbury FC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Salisbury FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Salisbury FC x Dorchester

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves