Sambenedettese x LAquila Betting tips for September 29 in Italy Serie D
| 📅 29/9/2024 10:00 |
 Sambenedettese2.25 |
X 3.10 |
LAquila  2.80 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Sambenedettese x LAquila:
🔮 Sambenedettese wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sambenedettese, you can win up to $1125.00!
|
The main points for the tip for Sambenedettese x LAquila: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sambenedettese in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-325.0. |
Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Sambenedettese x LAquila?
If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Sambenedettese x LAquila:
Analysis from Sambenedettese x LAquila for the Italy Serie D – 29 of September
|
🏟️ Sambenedettese X LAquila – Italy Serie D |
When the best bet on Sambenedettese x LAquila is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Sambenedettese x LAquila
Should you bet on Sambenedettese?
🔵 Sambenedettese: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 51.65% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 520 times – having a profit of $650.00;
- And would lose other 480 times – losing -$480.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$170.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.75% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $609.00;
- And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$101.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on LAquila?
🔴 LAquila: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $360.00;
- And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$440.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Sambenedettese x LAquila
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Sambenedettese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sambenedettese x LAquila
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Sambenedettese, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Sambenedettese.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sambenedettese x LAquila
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
