Sampdoria x Carrarese Betting tips for December 26 in Italy Serie B
| 📅 26/12/2024 19:30 |
 Sampdoria2.05 |
X 3.25 |
Carrarese  3.60 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Sampdoria x Carrarese:
👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Sampdoria x Carrarese
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Important information for your tip for Sampdoria x Carrarese: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sampdoria in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-335.0. |
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Analysis from Sampdoria x Carrarese for the Italy Serie B – 26 of December
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🏟️ Sampdoria X Carrarese – Italy Serie B |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sampdoria x Carrarese right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1239919 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Sampdoria x Carrarese
Is it a good idea to bet on Sampdoria?
🔵 Sampdoria: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 56.75%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 570 times – this would give you a profit of $598.50
- And would lose other 430 times – having a loss of -$430.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$168.50 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.47% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $585.00;
- And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$155.00.
Should you bet on Carrarese?
🔴 Carrarese: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.78%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $442.00
- And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$388.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Sampdoria x Carrarese
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Sampdoria
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sampdoria x Carrarese
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Sampdoria and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Sampdoria.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sampdoria x Carrarese
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
