Sampdoria x Pisa Betting tips for December 29 in Italy Serie B

Our betting tip for Sampdoria x Pisa, Sunday, 29/12/2024

📅 29/12/2024 18:30

Sampdoria 2.55

X 3.30

Pisa 2.62

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Sampdoria x Pisa:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Sampdoria x Pisa

Important information for your tip for Sampdoria x Pisa: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sampdoria in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-335.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Pisa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $65.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Pisa conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Sampdoria x Pisa for the Italy Serie B – 29 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sampdoria x Pisa right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1240200 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sampdoria x Pisa

Is betting on Sampdoria worth it?

🔵 Sampdoria: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.08%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $527.00
• And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$133.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.14% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 310 times – profiting $713.00;
• And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$23.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on Pisa?

🔴 Pisa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.79% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.62. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $567.00
• And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$83.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Sampdoria x Pisa

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Sampdoria
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sampdoria x Pisa

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Sampdoria, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Sampdoria.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Sampdoria.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sampdoria x Pisa

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.