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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Sampdoria x Spezia Betting tips for November 24 in Italy Serie B
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Italy Serie B
Sampdoria Sampdoria
PREDICTION Sampdoria wins Probability 13% 1 X 2
Spezia Spezia
ODD: @2.22 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Sampdoria x Spezia Betting tips for November 24 in Italy Serie B

Our betting tip for Sampdoria x Spezia, Friday, 24/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 24/11/2023
19:30
Sampdoria Sampdoria
2.22
X
3.20
Spezia Spezia
3.12

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Sampdoria x Spezia:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Sampdoria wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sampdoria, you can win up to $1110.00!

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The main points for the tip for Sampdoria x Spezia:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sampdoria in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-12.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Spezia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-275.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Spezia did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Sampdoria scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Spezia, Sampdoria scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Sampdoria conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Spezia.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Sampdoria has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Spezia playing at home.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Sampdoria x Spezia

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Summary

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Analysis from Sampdoria x Spezia for the Italy Serie B – 24 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Sampdoria X Spezia – Italy Serie B
๐Ÿ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 19:30
๐Ÿ”ต Sampdoria – Winning probability: 64.17% | Fair line: 1.56
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.90% | Fair line: 4.57
๐Ÿ”ด Spezia – Winning probability: 13.93% | Fair line: 7.18
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Sampdoria
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Sampdoria and Spezia.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1024961 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Sampdoria x Spezia

Is betting on Sampdoria worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Sampdoria: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 64.17% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.22. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 640 times – having a profit of $780.80;
  • And would lose other 360 times – losing -$360.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$420.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.9% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $484.00;
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$296.00.

Is betting on Spezia worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Spezia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.93% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.12. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – profiting $296.80;
  • And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$563.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Sampdoria x Spezia

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Sampdoria
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sampdoria x Spezia

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Sampdoria, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Sampdoria.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sampdoria x Spezia

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves