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Home » Predictions » Others » Samsunspor x Alanyaspor Betting tips for November 24 in Turkey Super Lig
Sunday, 24 November 2024, 13h00 Turkey Super Lig
Samsunspor Samsunspor
PREDICTION Samsunspor wins Probability 71% 1 X 2
Alanyaspor Alanyaspor
ODD: @1.73 Don't miss this prediction!

Samsunspor x Alanyaspor Betting tips for November 24 in Turkey Super Lig

Our betting tip for Samsunspor x Alanyaspor, Sunday, 24/11/2024
📅 24/11/2024
13:00
Samsunspor Samsunspor
1.73
X
3.60
Alanyaspor Alanyaspor
4.33

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Samsunspor x Alanyaspor:

🔮 Samsunspor wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Samsunspor, you can win up to $865.00!

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The main points for the tip for Samsunspor x Alanyaspor:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Samsunspor in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $57.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Alanyaspor in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-280.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Samsunspor scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Alanyaspor, Samsunspor scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Alanyaspor matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Samsunspor conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Alanyaspor.
👉 Samsunspor has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Alanyaspor playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Samsunspor x Alanyaspor?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Samsunspor x Alanyaspor, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Samsunspor x Alanyaspor for the Turkey Super Lig – 24 of November

🏟️ Samsunspor X Alanyaspor – Turkey Super Lig
📅 24 of November, 2024 – 13:00
🔵 Samsunspor – Winning probability: 71.74% | Fair line: 1.39
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.59% | Fair line: 8.63
🔴 Alanyaspor – Winning probability: 16.67% | Fair line: 6.0
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Samsunspor
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Samsunspor and Alanyaspor.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1226364 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Samsunspor x Alanyaspor

Is it a good idea to bet on Samsunspor?

🔵 Samsunspor: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 71.74% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.73. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 720 times – profiting $525.60;
  • And would have lost other 280 times – with a loss of -$280.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$245.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $312.00;
  • And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$568.00.

Is it worth betting on Alanyaspor?

🔴 Alanyaspor: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.67%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.33. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $566.10
  • And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$263.90.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Samsunspor x Alanyaspor

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Samsunspor
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Samsunspor x Alanyaspor

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Samsunspor, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Samsunspor.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Samsunspor x Alanyaspor

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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