Samsunspor x Istanbul Basaksehir Betting tips for December 14 in Türkiye Super Lig
| 📅 14/12/2025 17:00 |
 Samsunspor2.05 |
X 3.40 |
Istanbul Basaksehir  3.40 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Samsunspor x Istanbul Basaksehir:
🔮 Samsunspor wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Samsunspor, you can win up to $1025.00!
The main points for the tip for Samsunspor x Istanbul Basaksehir:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Samsunspor in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-205.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Istanbul Basaksehir in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-60.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Samsunspor scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Istanbul Basaksehir scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Istanbul Basaksehir matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
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Analysis from Samsunspor x Istanbul Basaksehir for the Türkiye Super Lig – 14 of December
🏟️ Samsunspor X Istanbul Basaksehir – Türkiye Super Lig
📅 14 of December, 2025 – 17:00
🔵 Samsunspor – Winning probability: 53.77% | Fair line: 1.86
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.71% | Fair line: 3.61
🔴 Istanbul Basaksehir – Winning probability: 18.52% | Fair line: 5.4
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Samsunspor
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks
When the best bet on Samsunspor x Istanbul Basaksehir is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1452657 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Samsunspor x Istanbul Basaksehir
Should you bet on Samsunspor?
🔵 Samsunspor: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 53.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 540 times – having a profit of $567.00;
- And would lose other 460 times – losing -$460.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$107.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.71% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 280 times – profiting $672.00;
- And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$48.00.
Is it worth betting on Istanbul Basaksehir?
🔴 Istanbul Basaksehir: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $456.00;
- And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$354.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Samsunspor x Istanbul Basaksehir
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Samsunspor
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Samsunspor x Istanbul Basaksehir
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Samsunspor and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Samsunspor.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Samsunspor.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Samsunspor x Istanbul Basaksehir
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
