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Home » Predictions » Others » San Ignacio x CD Alaves C Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 4
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 16h00 Spain Tercera Group 4
San Ignacio San Ignacio
PREDICTION San Ignacio wins Probability 74% 1 X 2
CD Alaves C CD Alaves C
ODD: @1.53 Don't miss this prediction!

San Ignacio x CD Alaves C Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 4

Our betting tip for San Ignacio x CD Alaves C, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
16:00
San Ignacio San Ignacio
1.53
X
3.60
CD Alaves C CD Alaves C
5.39

Our algorithm has selected this tip for San Ignacio x CD Alaves C:

🔮 San Ignacio wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on San Ignacio, you can win up to $765.00!

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The main points for the tip for San Ignacio x CD Alaves C:

👉 If you had bet $100 on San Ignacio in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $272.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Alaves C in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 CD Alaves C did not score any goals in the last 5 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 3 San Ignacio matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, CD Alaves C conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for CD Alaves C as away team: it comes from 6 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from San Ignacio x CD Alaves C for the Spain Tercera Group 4 – 1 of December

🏟️ San Ignacio X CD Alaves C – Spain Tercera Group 4
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 16:00
🔵 San Ignacio – Winning probability: 74.91% | Fair line: 1.33
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.20% | Fair line: 4.95
🔴 CD Alaves C – Winning probability: 4.88% | Fair line: 20.48
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 San Ignacio
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on San Ignacio x CD Alaves C is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for San Ignacio x CD Alaves C

Is it a good idea to bet on San Ignacio?

🔵 San Ignacio: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 74.91%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.53. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 750 times – this would give you a profit of $397.50
  • And would lose other 250 times – losing -$250.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$147.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.2% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $520.00
  • And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$280.00.

Is betting on CD Alaves C worth it?

🔴 CD Alaves C: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.88% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.39. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 50 times – profiting $219.50;
  • And would lose other 950 times – having a loss of -$950.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$730.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match San Ignacio x CD Alaves C

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 San Ignacio
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for San Ignacio x CD Alaves C

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 San Ignacio, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 San Ignacio.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 San Ignacio.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for San Ignacio x CD Alaves C

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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