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Home » Predictions » Others » San Lorenzo x Estudiantes LP Betting tips for November 5 in Argentina Liga Profesional
Tuesday, 05 November 2024, 21h45 Argentina Liga Profesional
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
PREDICTION San Lorenzo wins Probability 43% 1 X 2
Estudiantes LP Estudiantes LP
ODD: @2.6 Don't miss this prediction!

San Lorenzo x Estudiantes LP Betting tips for November 5 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for San Lorenzo x Estudiantes LP, Tuesday, 5/11/2024
📅 5/11/2024
21:45
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
2.60
X
2.91
Estudiantes LP Estudiantes LP
2.85

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for San Lorenzo x Estudiantes LP:

🔮 San Lorenzo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on San Lorenzo, you can win up to $1300.00!

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The main points for the tip for San Lorenzo x Estudiantes LP:

👉 If you had bet $100 on San Lorenzo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $135.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Estudiantes LP in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-238.0.
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between San Lorenzo x Estudiantes LP, with San Lorenzo as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Estudiantes LP conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 San Lorenzo has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Estudiantes LP playing at home.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on San Lorenzo x Estudiantes LP?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on San Lorenzo x Estudiantes LP, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from San Lorenzo x Estudiantes LP for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 5 of November

🏟️ San Lorenzo X Estudiantes LP – Argentina Liga Profesional
📅 5 of November, 2024 – 21:45
🔵 San Lorenzo – Winning probability: 43.98% | Fair line: 2.27
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.95% | Fair line: 3.45
🔴 Estudiantes LP – Winning probability: 27.06% | Fair line: 3.7
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 San Lorenzo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between San Lorenzo and Estudiantes LP.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1216337 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for San Lorenzo x Estudiantes LP

Is it worth betting on San Lorenzo?

🔵 San Lorenzo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 43.98%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 440 times – this would give you a profit of $704.00
  • And would lose other 560 times – having a loss of -$560.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$144.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.95% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.91. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – profiting $553.90;
  • And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$156.10.

Is betting on Estudiantes LP worth it?

🔴 Estudiantes LP: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.06% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $499.50
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$230.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match San Lorenzo x Estudiantes LP

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 San Lorenzo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for San Lorenzo x Estudiantes LP

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 San Lorenzo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 San Lorenzo.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Estudiantes LP.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for San Lorenzo x Estudiantes LP

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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