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Home » Predictions » Others » San Martin de San Juan x All Boys Betting tips for November 17 in Argentina Nacional B
Sunday, 17 November 2024, 21h50 Argentina Nacional B
San Martin de San Juan San Martin de San Juan
PREDICTION All Boys Wins Probability 22% 1 X 2
All Boys All Boys
ODD: @4.1 Don't miss this prediction!

San Martin de San Juan x All Boys Betting tips for November 17 in Argentina Nacional B

Our betting tip for San Martin de San Juan x All Boys, Sunday, 17/11/2024
📅 17/11/2024
21:50
San Martin de San Juan San Martin de San Juan
2.03
X
2.80
All Boys All Boys
4.10

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for San Martin de San Juan x All Boys:

🔮 All Boys wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on All Boys, you can win up to $2050.00!

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Some important points for the tip for San Martin de San Juan x All Boys:

👉 If you had bet $100 on San Martin de San Juan in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-135.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on All Boys in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $520.0.
👉 All Boys did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, San Martin de San Juan scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 All Boys matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 San Martin de San Juan matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, San Martin de San Juan conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 road matches, All Boys has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from San Martin de San Juan x All Boys for the Argentina Nacional B – 17 of November

🏟️ San Martin de San Juan X All Boys – Argentina Nacional B
📅 17 of November, 2024 – 21:50
🔵 San Martin de San Juan – Winning probability: 47.82% | Fair line: 2.09
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.84% | Fair line: 3.35
🔴 All Boys – Winning probability: 22.35% | Fair line: 4.48
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 San Martin de San Juan
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for San Martin de San Juan x All Boys right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1222248 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for San Martin de San Juan x All Boys

Is betting on San Martin de San Juan worth it?

🔵 San Martin de San Juan: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 47.82% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.03. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 480 times – having a profit of $494.40;
  • And would have lost other 520 times – with a loss of -$520.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$25.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.84% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $540.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$160.00.

Should you bet on All Boys?

🔴 All Boys: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.35% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $682.00;
  • And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$98.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match San Martin de San Juan x All Boys

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 San Martin de San Juan
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for San Martin de San Juan x All Boys

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 San Martin de San Juan, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 San Martin de San Juan.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 San Martin de San Juan.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for San Martin de San Juan x All Boys

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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