San Martin de Tucuman x CA San Telmo Betting tips for November 18 in Argentina Nacional B
📅 18/11/2024 00:10 |
San Martin de Tucuman 1.73 |
X 3.07 |
CA San Telmo 5.21 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for San Martin de Tucuman x CA San Telmo:
🔮 San Martin de Tucuman wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on San Martin de Tucuman, you can win up to $865.00!
Important information for your tip for San Martin de Tucuman x CA San Telmo: 👉 If you had bet $100 on San Martin de Tucuman in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $91.0. |
Do you want more options of bookies to bet on San Martin de Tucuman x CA San Telmo?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on San Martin de Tucuman x CA San Telmo, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from San Martin de Tucuman x CA San Telmo for the Argentina Nacional B – 18 of November
🏟️ San Martin de Tucuman X CA San Telmo – Argentina Nacional B |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between San Martin de Tucuman and CA San Telmo.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1222248 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for San Martin de Tucuman x CA San Telmo
Is betting on San Martin de Tucuman worth it?
🔵 San Martin de Tucuman: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 61.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.73. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 620 times – having a profit of $452.60;
- And would lose other 380 times – having a loss of -$380.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$72.60.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.07. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $496.80;
- And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$263.20.
Is betting on CA San Telmo worth it?
🔴 CA San Telmo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.21. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $589.40
- And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$270.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match San Martin de Tucuman x CA San Telmo
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 San Martin de Tucuman
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for San Martin de Tucuman x CA San Telmo
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 San Martin de Tucuman, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 San Martin de Tucuman.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 San Martin de Tucuman.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for San Martin de Tucuman x CA San Telmo
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.