San Nicolo Notaresco x U.S. Ancona Betting tips for December 21 in Italy Serie D
| 📅 21/12/2025 13:30 |
 San Nicolo Notaresco2.45 |
X 3.00 |
U.S. Ancona  2.65 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for San Nicolo Notaresco x U.S. Ancona:
🔮 U.S. Ancona wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on U.S. Ancona, you can win up to $1325.00!
The main points for the tip for San Nicolo Notaresco x U.S. Ancona:
👉 If you had bet $100 on San Nicolo Notaresco in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-309.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on U.S. Ancona in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $202.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, San Nicolo Notaresco conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, San Nicolo Notaresco conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against U.S. Ancona.
👉 Even as a visitor, U.S. Ancona won the last 3 head-to-head matches San Nicolo Notaresco´s territory
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Analysis from San Nicolo Notaresco x U.S. Ancona for the Italy Serie D – 21 of December
🏟️ San Nicolo Notaresco X U.S. Ancona – Italy Serie D
📅 21 of December, 2025 – 13:30
🔵 San Nicolo Notaresco – Winning probability: 10.62% | Fair line: 9.41
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.90% | Fair line: 6.71
🔴 U.S. Ancona – Winning probability: 74.48% | Fair line: 1.34
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 San Nicolo Notaresco
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between San Nicolo Notaresco and U.S. Ancona.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1455219 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for San Nicolo Notaresco x U.S. Ancona
Is it a good idea to bet on San Nicolo Notaresco?
🔵 San Nicolo Notaresco: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.62%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $159.50
- And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$730.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $300.00
- And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$550.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on U.S. Ancona?
🔴 U.S. Ancona: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 74.48%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 740 times – profiting $1221.00;
- And would lose other 260 times – losing -$260.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$961.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match San Nicolo Notaresco x U.S. Ancona
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 San Nicolo Notaresco
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for San Nicolo Notaresco x U.S. Ancona
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 San Nicolo Notaresco, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 San Nicolo Notaresco. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for San Nicolo Notaresco x U.S. Ancona
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
