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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Sandecja Nowy Sacz x Skra Czestochowa Betting tips for November 25 in Poland II Liga
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Poland II Liga
Sandecja Nowy Sacz Sandecja Nowy Sacz
PREDICTION No tip
Skra Czestochowa Skra Czestochowa
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Sandecja Nowy Sacz x Skra Czestochowa Betting tips for November 25 in Poland II Liga

Our betting tip for Sandecja Nowy Sacz x Skra Czestochowa, Saturday, 25/11/2023
πŸ“… 25/11/2023
12:00
Sandecja Nowy Sacz Sandecja Nowy Sacz
2.45
X
3.10
Skra Czestochowa Skra Czestochowa
2.63

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Sandecja Nowy Sacz x Skra Czestochowa:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Sandecja Nowy Sacz x Skra Czestochowa

Some important points for the tip for Sandecja Nowy Sacz x Skra Czestochowa:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sandecja Nowy Sacz in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-60.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Skra Czestochowa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $120.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Skra Czestochowa scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Skra Czestochowa matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Skra Czestochowa conceded at least 1 goal(s).

πŸ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Sandecja Nowy Sacz x Skra Czestochowa

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Summary

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Analysis from Sandecja Nowy Sacz x Skra Czestochowa for the Poland II Liga – 25 of November

🏟️ Sandecja Nowy Sacz X Skra Czestochowa – Poland II Liga
πŸ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 12:00
πŸ”΅ Sandecja Nowy Sacz – Winning probability: 33.68% | Fair line: 2.97
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.98% | Fair line: 3.13
πŸ”΄ Skra Czestochowa – Winning probability: 34.34% | Fair line: 2.91
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Sandecja Nowy Sacz
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Sandecja Nowy Sacz and Skra Czestochowa.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1025263 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sandecja Nowy Sacz x Skra Czestochowa

Is betting on Sandecja Nowy Sacz worth it?

πŸ”΅ Sandecja Nowy Sacz: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.68% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.45. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $493.00;
  • And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$167.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.98%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $672.00;
  • And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$8.00.

Is betting on Skra Czestochowa worth it?

πŸ”΄ Skra Czestochowa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.34% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.63. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $554.20
  • And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$105.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Sandecja Nowy Sacz x Skra Czestochowa

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Sandecja Nowy Sacz
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sandecja Nowy Sacz x Skra Czestochowa

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Sandecja Nowy Sacz, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Sandecja Nowy Sacz.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sandecja Nowy Sacz x Skra Czestochowa

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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