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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Sanfrecce Hiroshima x Gamba Osaka Betting tips for November 25 in Japan J-League
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Japan J-League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima
PREDICTION Sanfrecce Hiroshima wins Probability 5% 1 X 2
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka
ODD: @1.43 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Sanfrecce Hiroshima x Gamba Osaka Betting tips for November 25 in Japan J-League

Our betting tip for Sanfrecce Hiroshima x Gamba Osaka, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
05:00
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1.43
X
4.50
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka
6.44

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Sanfrecce Hiroshima x Gamba Osaka:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Sanfrecce Hiroshima wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sanfrecce Hiroshima, you can win up to $715.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Sanfrecce Hiroshima x Gamba Osaka:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sanfrecce Hiroshima in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $343.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Gamba Osaka in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Gamba Osaka did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as away team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Gamba Osaka conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for Gamba Osaka as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

๐Ÿ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Sanfrecce Hiroshima x Gamba Osaka

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Sanfrecce Hiroshima x Gamba Osaka for the Japan J-League – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Sanfrecce Hiroshima X Gamba Osaka – Japan J-League
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 05:00
๐Ÿ”ต Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Winning probability: 79.44% | Fair line: 1.26
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.31% | Fair line: 6.53
๐Ÿ”ด Gamba Osaka – Winning probability: 5.25% | Fair line: 19.06
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Gamba Osaka.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1024961 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Sanfrecce Hiroshima x Gamba Osaka

Is it worth betting on Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

๐Ÿ”ต Sanfrecce Hiroshima: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 79.44% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.43. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 790 times – having a profit of $339.70;
  • And would have lost other 210 times – with a loss of -$210.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$129.70.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.31%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $525.00
  • And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$325.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Gamba Osaka?

๐Ÿ”ด Gamba Osaka: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.44. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $272.00;
  • And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$678.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Sanfrecce Hiroshima x Gamba Osaka

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sanfrecce Hiroshima x Gamba Osaka

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Gamba Osaka.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sanfrecce Hiroshima x Gamba Osaka

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves