Santos x Ceara Betting tips for October 22 in Brazil Serie B

Our betting tip for Santos x Ceara, Tuesday, 22/10/2024

📅 22/10/2024 22:00

Santos 1.78

X 3.46

Ceara 4.40

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Santos x Ceara:

🔮 Santos wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Santos, you can win up to $890.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Santos x Ceara: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Santos in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-22.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ceara in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-280.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Santos scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Ceara scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Ceara matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Ceara conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Santos has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Ceara playing at home.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Santos x Ceara?

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Analysis from Santos x Ceara for the Brazil Serie B – 22 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Santos x Ceara right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1205088 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Santos x Ceara

Is it worth betting on Santos?

🔵 Santos: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 59.62%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.78. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 600 times – having a profit of $468.00;
• And would have lost other 400 times – with a loss of -$400.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$68.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.26% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.46. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 240 times – profiting $590.40;
• And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$169.60.

Is it worth betting on Ceara?

🔴 Ceara: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.13% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 160 times – profiting $544.00;
• And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$296.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Santos x Ceara

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Santos
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Santos x Ceara

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Santos, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Santos.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Ceara.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Santos x Ceara

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.