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Home » Predictions » Others » Santos de Guápiles x Santa Ana Betting tips for November 7 in Costa Rica Primera Division
Thursday, 07 November 2024, 21h00 Costa Rica Primera Division
Santos de Guápiles Santos de Guápiles
PREDICTION Santos de Guápiles wins Probability 49% 1 X 2
Santa Ana Santa Ana
ODD: @2.14 Don't miss this prediction!

Santos de Guápiles x Santa Ana Betting tips for November 7 in Costa Rica Primera Division

Our betting tip for Santos de Guápiles x Santa Ana, Thursday, 7/11/2024
📅 7/11/2024
21:00
Santos de Guápiles Santos de Guápiles
2.14
X
3.20
Santa Ana Santa Ana
3.20

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Santos de Guápiles x Santa Ana:

🔮 Santos de Guápiles wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Santos de Guápiles, you can win up to $1070.00!

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The main points for the tip for Santos de Guápiles x Santa Ana:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Santos de Guápiles in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $5.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Santa Ana in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-50.0.
👉 Santos de Guápiles did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Santa Ana conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Santos de Guápiles x Santa Ana?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Santos de Guápiles x Santa Ana:

Analysis from Santos de Guápiles x Santa Ana for the Costa Rica Primera Division – 7 of November

🏟️ Santos de Guápiles X Santa Ana – Costa Rica Primera Division
📅 7 of November, 2024 – 21:00
🔵 Santos de Guápiles – Winning probability: 49.10% | Fair line: 2.04
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.66% | Fair line: 3.62
🔴 Santa Ana – Winning probability: 23.24% | Fair line: 4.3
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Santos de Guápiles
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Santos de Guápiles x Santa Ana is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1217498 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Santos de Guápiles x Santa Ana

Is betting on Santos de Guápiles worth it?

🔵 Santos de Guápiles: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 49.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.14. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 490 times – this would give you a profit of $558.60
  • And would lose other 510 times – having a loss of -$510.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$48.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.66%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – profiting $616.00;
  • And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$104.00.

Is it worth betting on Santa Ana?

🔴 Santa Ana: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.24% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $506.00
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$264.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Santos de Guápiles x Santa Ana

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Santos de Guápiles
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Santos de Guápiles x Santa Ana

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Santos de Guápiles, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Santos de Guápiles. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Santos de Guápiles x Santa Ana

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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