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Home » Predictions » Others » Santos x Sao Paulo Betting tips for February 1 in Brazil Campeonato Paulista
Saturday, 01 February 2025, 23h30 Brazil Campeonato Paulista
Santos Santos
PREDICTION Sao Paulo Wins Probability 53% 1 X 2
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
ODD: @2.48 Don't miss this prediction!

Santos x Sao Paulo Betting tips for February 1 in Brazil Campeonato Paulista

Our betting tip for Santos x Sao Paulo, Saturday, 1/2/2025
📅 1/2/2025
23:30
Santos Santos
2.77
X
3.00
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
2.48

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Santos x Sao Paulo:

🔮 Sao Paulo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sao Paulo, you can win up to $1240.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Santos x Sao Paulo:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Santos in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $9.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sao Paulo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-285.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Santos conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Sao Paulo has not lost any of them.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Santos x Sao Paulo?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Santos x Sao Paulo, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Santos x Sao Paulo for the Brazil Campeonato Paulista – 1 of February

🏟️ Santos X Sao Paulo – Brazil Campeonato Paulista
📅 1 of February, 2025 – 23:30
🔵 Santos – Winning probability: 23.74% | Fair line: 4.21
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.06% | Fair line: 4.34
🔴 Sao Paulo – Winning probability: 53.20% | Fair line: 1.88
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Santos
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Santos x Sao Paulo is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1255014 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Santos x Sao Paulo

Should you bet on Santos?

🔵 Santos: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.74% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.77. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $424.80
  • And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$335.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.06% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $460.00
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$310.00.

Is it worth betting on Sao Paulo?

🔴 Sao Paulo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 53.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.48. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 530 times – having a profit of $784.40;
  • And would lose other 470 times – having a loss of -$470.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$314.40.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Santos x Sao Paulo

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Santos
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Santos x Sao Paulo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Santos and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Santos.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Sao Paulo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Santos x Sao Paulo

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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