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Home » Predictions » Others » Sao Bernardo SP x Santos Betting tips for January 29 in Brazil Campeonato Paulista
Wednesday, 29 January 2025, 21h30 Brazil Campeonato Paulista
Sao Bernardo SP Sao Bernardo SP
PREDICTION Santos Wins Probability 46% 1 X 2
Santos Santos
ODD: @2.3 Don't miss this prediction!

Sao Bernardo SP x Santos Betting tips for January 29 in Brazil Campeonato Paulista

Our betting tip for Sao Bernardo SP x Santos, Wednesday, 29/1/2025
📅 29/1/2025
21:30
Sao Bernardo SP Sao Bernardo SP
2.99
X
3.00
Santos Santos
2.30

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Sao Bernardo SP x Santos:

🔮 Santos wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Santos, you can win up to $1150.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Sao Bernardo SP x Santos:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Sao Bernardo SP in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $20.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Santos in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-75.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Sao Bernardo SP scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Santos scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Sao Bernardo SP matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Sao Bernardo SP conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Santos conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Sao Bernardo SP conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Santos.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Sao Bernardo SP x Santos?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Sao Bernardo SP x Santos, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Sao Bernardo SP x Santos for the Brazil Campeonato Paulista – 29 of January

🏟️ Sao Bernardo SP X Santos – Brazil Campeonato Paulista
📅 29 of January, 2025 – 21:30
🔵 Sao Bernardo SP – Winning probability: 25.48% | Fair line: 3.93
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.10% | Fair line: 3.56
🔴 Santos – Winning probability: 46.43% | Fair line: 2.15
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Sao Bernardo SP
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sao Bernardo SP x Santos right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1253922 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Sao Bernardo SP x Santos

Is it worth betting on Sao Bernardo SP?

🔵 Sao Bernardo SP: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.48% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.99. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $497.50
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$252.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $560.00;
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$160.00.

Is it worth betting on Santos?

🔴 Santos: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 46.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 460 times – this would give you a profit of $598.00
  • And would lose other 540 times – losing -$540.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$58.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Sao Bernardo SP x Santos

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Sao Bernardo SP
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sao Bernardo SP x Santos

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Sao Bernardo SP, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Sao Bernardo SP.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sao Bernardo SP x Santos

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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