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Home » Predictions » Others » Sao Joao Ver x Trofense Betting tips for January 5 in Portugal Liga 3
Sunday, 05 January 2025, 15h00 Portugal Liga 3
Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 36% 1 X 2
Trofense Trofense
ODD: @3 Don't miss this prediction!

Sao Joao Ver x Trofense Betting tips for January 5 in Portugal Liga 3

Our betting tip for Sao Joao Ver x Trofense, Sunday, 5/1/2025
📅 5/1/2025
15:00
Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver
2.83
X
3.00
Trofense Trofense
2.40

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Sao Joao Ver x Trofense:

🔮 Tied Match
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The main points for the tip for Sao Joao Ver x Trofense:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Sao Joao Ver in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $240.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Trofense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Sao Joao Ver scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Trofense matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Sao Joao Ver conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Trofense has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Sao Joao Ver x Trofense for the Portugal Liga 3 – 5 of January

🏟️ Sao Joao Ver X Trofense – Portugal Liga 3
📅 5 of January, 2025 – 15:00
🔵 Sao Joao Ver – Winning probability: 29.22% | Fair line: 3.42
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 36.32% | Fair line: 2.75
🔴 Trofense – Winning probability: 34.46% | Fair line: 2.9
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Sao Joao Ver
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sao Joao Ver x Trofense right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1242039 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sao Joao Ver x Trofense

Should you bet on Sao Joao Ver?

🔵 Sao Joao Ver: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.22%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.83. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – profiting $530.70;
  • And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$179.30.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.32% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 360 times – this would give you a profit of $720.00
  • And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$80.00.

Is it worth betting on Trofense?

🔴 Trofense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 34.46%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $476.00;
  • And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$184.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Sao Joao Ver x Trofense

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Sao Joao Ver
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sao Joao Ver x Trofense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Sao Joao Ver, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Sao Joao Ver. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sao Joao Ver x Trofense

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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