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Home » Predictions » Others » Sao Paulo U20 x Serra Branca U20 Betting tips for January 4 in Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup
Saturday, 04 January 2025, 22h00 Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup
Sao Paulo U20 Sao Paulo U20
PREDICTION No tip
Serra Branca U20 Serra Branca U20
Don't miss this prediction!

Sao Paulo U20 x Serra Branca U20 Betting tips for January 4 in Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup

Our betting tip for Sao Paulo U20 x Serra Branca U20, Saturday, 4/1/2025
📅 4/1/2025
22:00
Sao Paulo U20 Sao Paulo U20
1.05
X
11.00
Serra Branca U20 Serra Branca U20
41.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Sao Paulo U20 x Serra Branca U20:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Sao Paulo U20 x Serra Branca U20

Important information for your tip for Sao Paulo U20 x Serra Branca U20:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Sao Paulo U20 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $318.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Serra Branca U20 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-110.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Serra Branca U20 conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Sao Paulo U20 x Serra Branca U20 for the Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup – 4 of January

🏟️ Sao Paulo U20 X Serra Branca U20 – Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup
📅 4 of January, 2025 – 22:00
🔵 Sao Paulo U20 – Winning probability: 99.99% | Fair line: 1.0
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 0.01% | Fair line: 17215.76
🔴 Serra Branca U20 – Winning probability: 0.00% | Fair line: 5152195.87
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -4.25 Sao Paulo U20
⚽ Expected goals: 4.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 11.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Sao Paulo U20 and Serra Branca U20.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1242003 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sao Paulo U20 x Serra Branca U20

Is betting on Sao Paulo U20 worth it?

🔵 Sao Paulo U20: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 99.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 1000 times – having a profit of $50.00;
  • And would lose other 0 times – having a loss of -$0.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$50.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.01%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 11.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 0 times – this would give you a profit of $0.00
  • And would lose other 1000 times – losing -$1000.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Serra Branca U20?

🔴 Serra Branca U20: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.0%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 41.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 0 times – this would give you a profit of $0.00
  • And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Sao Paulo U20 x Serra Branca U20

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -4.25 Sao Paulo U20
⚽ Expected goals: 4.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sao Paulo U20 x Serra Branca U20

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -4.25 Sao Paulo U20 and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -3.0 Sao Paulo U20.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -1.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -3.0 Sao Paulo U20.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sao Paulo U20 x Serra Branca U20

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 4.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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