Sarmiento x Platense Betting tips for November 27 in Argentina Liga Profesional
| 📅 27/11/2024 00:15 |
 Sarmiento3.13 |
X 2.80 |
Platense  2.45 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Sarmiento x Platense:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1400.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Sarmiento x Platense: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sarmiento in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-150.0. |
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Analysis from Sarmiento x Platense for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 27 of November
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🏟️ Sarmiento X Platense – Argentina Liga Profesional |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Sarmiento and Platense.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1228745 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Sarmiento x Platense
Is it a good idea to bet on Sarmiento?
🔵 Sarmiento: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.37% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.13. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $340.80
- And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$499.20.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.78%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $720.00;
- And would lose other 600 times – having a loss of -$600.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$120.00.
Is it worth betting on Platense?
🔴 Platense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 43.85% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 440 times – profiting $638.00;
- And would lose other 560 times – having a loss of -$560.00 with them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$78.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Handicaps analysis for the match Sarmiento x Platense
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Sarmiento
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sarmiento x Platense
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Sarmiento and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Sarmiento.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Sarmiento.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sarmiento x Platense
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.
