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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป SC Bastia x Auxerre Betting tips for November 25 in France Ligue 2
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 France Ligue 2
SC Bastia SC Bastia
PREDICTION Auxerre Wins Probability 77% 1 X 2
Auxerre Auxerre
ODD: @1.77 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

SC Bastia x Auxerre Betting tips for November 25 in France Ligue 2

Our betting tip for SC Bastia x Auxerre, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
18:00
SC Bastia SC Bastia
4.00
X
3.54
Auxerre Auxerre
1.77

Our algorithm has selected this tip for SC Bastia x Auxerre:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Auxerre wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Auxerre, you can win up to $885.00!

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The main points for the tip for SC Bastia x Auxerre:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on SC Bastia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $80.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Auxerre in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-122.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Auxerre is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 away matches, it had at least 62.00% of possession.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for SC Bastia x Auxerre

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on SC Bastia x Auxerre?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on SC Bastia x Auxerre, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2023. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from SC Bastia x Auxerre for the France Ligue 2 – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ SC Bastia X Auxerre – France Ligue 2
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 18:00
๐Ÿ”ต SC Bastia – Winning probability: 7.67% | Fair line: 13.04
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.77% | Fair line: 6.77
๐Ÿ”ด Auxerre – Winning probability: 77.56% | Fair line: 1.29
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 SC Bastia
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on SC Bastia x Auxerre is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1024927 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for SC Bastia x Auxerre

Is it a good idea to bet on SC Bastia?

๐Ÿ”ต SC Bastia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $240.00;
  • And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$680.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.54. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $381.00;
  • And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$469.00.

Should you bet on Auxerre?

๐Ÿ”ด Auxerre: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 77.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.77. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 780 times – profiting $600.60;
  • And would have lost other 220 times – with a loss of -$220.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$380.60.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match SC Bastia x Auxerre

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 SC Bastia
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SC Bastia x Auxerre

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 SC Bastia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 SC Bastia.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 SC Bastia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SC Bastia x Auxerre

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves