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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป SC Charlottenburg x TSV Mariendorf 1897 Betting tips for November 24 in Germany Berlin-Liga
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Germany Berlin-Liga
SC Charlottenburg SC Charlottenburg
PREDICTION TSV Mariendorf 1897 Wins Probability 57% 1 X 2
TSV Mariendorf 1897 TSV Mariendorf 1897
ODD: @2 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

SC Charlottenburg x TSV Mariendorf 1897 Betting tips for November 24 in Germany Berlin-Liga

Our betting tip for SC Charlottenburg x TSV Mariendorf 1897, Friday, 24/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 24/11/2023
18:30
SC Charlottenburg SC Charlottenburg
3.03
X
3.74
TSV Mariendorf 1897 TSV Mariendorf 1897
2.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for SC Charlottenburg x TSV Mariendorf 1897:

๐Ÿ”ฎ TSV Mariendorf 1897 wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on TSV Mariendorf 1897, you can win up to $1000.00!

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Some important points for the tip for SC Charlottenburg x TSV Mariendorf 1897:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on SC Charlottenburg in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $92.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on TSV Mariendorf 1897 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-250.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, SC Charlottenburg scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, TSV Mariendorf 1897 conceded at least 1 goal(s).

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for SC Charlottenburg x TSV Mariendorf 1897

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on SC Charlottenburg x TSV Mariendorf 1897?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on SC Charlottenburg x TSV Mariendorf 1897, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2023. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from SC Charlottenburg x TSV Mariendorf 1897 for the Germany Berlin-Liga – 24 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ SC Charlottenburg X TSV Mariendorf 1897 – Germany Berlin-Liga
๐Ÿ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 18:30
๐Ÿ”ต SC Charlottenburg – Winning probability: 19.53% | Fair line: 5.12
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.81% | Fair line: 4.38
๐Ÿ”ด TSV Mariendorf 1897 – Winning probability: 57.66% | Fair line: 1.73
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 SC Charlottenburg
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for SC Charlottenburg x TSV Mariendorf 1897 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024961 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for SC Charlottenburg x TSV Mariendorf 1897

Is it worth betting on SC Charlottenburg?

๐Ÿ”ต SC Charlottenburg: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.53% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.03. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – profiting $406.00;
  • And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$394.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.74. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $630.20;
  • And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$139.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on TSV Mariendorf 1897?

๐Ÿ”ด TSV Mariendorf 1897: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 57.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 580 times – having a profit of $580.00;
  • And would lose other 420 times – having a loss of -$420.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$160.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match SC Charlottenburg x TSV Mariendorf 1897

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 SC Charlottenburg
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SC Charlottenburg x TSV Mariendorf 1897

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 SC Charlottenburg, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 SC Charlottenburg.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 TSV Mariendorf 1897.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SC Charlottenburg x TSV Mariendorf 1897

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves