SC Coimbroes x FC Alpendorada Betting tips for November 30 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for SC Coimbroes x FC Alpendorada, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 15:00

SC Coimbroes 2.40

X 3.00

FC Alpendorada 2.72

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for SC Coimbroes x FC Alpendorada:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for SC Coimbroes x FC Alpendorada

Important information for your tip for SC Coimbroes x FC Alpendorada: 👉 If you had bet $100 on SC Coimbroes in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-250.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Alpendorada in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $150.0. 👉 In the last 3 SC Coimbroes matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, SC Coimbroes conceded at least 3 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 road matches, FC Alpendorada has not lost any of them. 👉 It is not a good time for SC Coimbroes as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Analysis from SC Coimbroes x FC Alpendorada for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 30 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between SC Coimbroes and FC Alpendorada.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229690 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for SC Coimbroes x FC Alpendorada

Should you bet on SC Coimbroes?

🔵 SC Coimbroes: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $462.00
• And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$208.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $580.00
• And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$130.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on FC Alpendorada?

🔴 FC Alpendorada: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.85% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.72. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 380 times – this would give you a profit of $653.60
• And would have lost other 620 times – with a loss of -$620.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$33.60 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Handicaps analysis for the match SC Coimbroes x FC Alpendorada

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 SC Coimbroes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SC Coimbroes x FC Alpendorada

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 SC Coimbroes and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 SC Coimbroes.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 SC Coimbroes.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SC Coimbroes x FC Alpendorada

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.